Best Stock for Future Trading: Top Picks for 2024

Forex Economic Calendar: How to Use Economic Events to Plan Your Trades

  • Future Trading
  • No Comments
  • Thaurus

    Contact us

    • The Forex economic calendar has become one of the most powerful tools available to traders today. If you are just starting out or are already using a forex trading platform, improving your strategies based on the economic events can improve your chances of attaining success in the forex market. Many professionals opt for a trading platform due to its integration with the up-to-date economic calendar that provides fast market-moving news. By understanding and using economic data releases, traders can easily make smart moves, reduce risks, and use forex trading signals.  

    What is the forex economic calendar? 

    • Forex economic calendar is mainly a strategic tool that lists the scheduled dates along with the time of major economic events, announcements, and data releases from all around the world that can impact currency values as well as wider financial markets. These calendars are widely used by the forex traders in order to predict upcoming market movements, in order to manage risk, and improve their trading strategies.  
    • There are several forex trading platforms that come up with built-in calendars or integrations with third-party tools. The forex economic calendar usually includes: 
    • Country and currency impacted 
    • Date and time of the economic event 
    • Detailed description of the event  
    • Level of impact  
    • Actual, forecast, and previous data  

    Why are economic events significant in forex trading? 

    • Economic events are important in forex trading because they directly impact currency values, market volatility, as well as trading opportunities. Here is why they matter: 
    • Currencies usually showcase the economic health of their respective countries. Economic events like GDP releases, inflation data, central bank decisions, and employment rates also offer insights about the current state. Strong economic data usually reinforces a currency, while weak data can also cause it to depreciate.  
    • Marketers not only react to the actual data but also compare it with forecasts. If an economic release is better or worse than predicted, it leads to outsized moves as traders adjust their positions.  
    • Furthermore, elections, trade agreements, unexpected crises, along with geopolitical events, can create uncertainty and lead to major shifts in currency values, while stability and positive reforms can strengthen them.  

    Main economic indicators to watch out for  

    • The main economic indicators to look for in forex trading are those that have the major impact on the currency values, along with market volatility. These indicators offer insights about the economic health of a country along with the impact on central bank decisions, investor sentiment, and trading strategies. Here are some of the main indicators: 

    Employment data  

    • This consists of the unemployment rate, average hourly earnings, along with non-farm payrolls. Strong job growth and low unemployment increase the value of a currency, whereas weak employment usually decreases it.  

    Central bank decisions  

    • The major market movers are the announcements of interest rates as well as the policies of the central banks of countries. High interest rates play an important role in attracting foreign investment, increasing the currency, while lower rates create an opposite effect.  

    Business and consumer sentiment  

    • Indices like the purchasing manager’s index (PMI), business confidence index, and consumer confidence index showcase expectations regarding the future economic situations and can signal upcoming trends.  

    Gross domestic product  

    • GDP calculates the total value of goods and services generated in a country. It is an indicator of the overall economic growth of a country or contraction; the value of currency increases if the GDP of a country is higher.  

    Inflation metrics 

    • One of the most watched metrics to understand inflation of a country is the Consumer Price Index (CPI). This index shows the changes in the price of goods and services; rising inflation usually leads to higher interest rates, which improves the currency.  

    How to read and interpret the economic calendar 

    • In order to predict market movements and manage trading risk, it is significant to read and interpret a forex economic calendar. Here is how to do it: 

    Step 1: Recognize event details 

    • The calendar lists the latest economic events sorted by data and time, country, and currency impact. Each event is categorized on the basis of its market impact- commonly labeled as low, medium, or high. Events with high impact are marked in red or bold and are most likely going to create major market volatility.  

    Step 2: Understand the data columns 

    • Most of the economic calendars showcase three main data columns for each event, these are: 
    • Previous- This is the result of the last release of this data.  
    • Forecast- The expectation of the market or the prediction of an analyst for this release.  
    • Actual- It is the real data released at the scheduled time.  

    Step 3: Compare actual with forecast 

    • The market usually reacts most strongly when the actual data differs significantly from the forecast. For instance, if the employment numbers are higher than predicted, then the relevant currency may increase quickly.  

    Step 4: Filter and personalize 

    • Most calendars enable you to filter on the basis of currency, country, level of impact, and session, so you can easily focus on events that are important to most of your trades. Customize your calendar to include all the major currencies and regions that are relevant as per your trading strategy.  

    Step 5: Plan your trades 

    • You can also use the calendar to predict the periods of high volatility and adjust your positions accordingly. Some traders may even close positions before any major announcements in order to avoid any risk, while others look to trade the news to gain profit. Evaluate historical data to look for similar events that have impacted the market in the past and then consider the present economic scenario for a more informed forecast.  

    Step 6: Combine this with other analyses  

    • You can also use the economic calendar with technical and sentiment analysis to create more refined trading strategies.  

    Techniques to use economic events in your trading plan 

    • Including economic events in your forex trading plan can help you predict market volatility, manage risk, and recognize trading opportunities. Here are some effective techniques to use economic events: 

    Evaluate forecast vs. actual data  

    • Compare the predicted values with the actual released data. The market usually reacts strongly when the actual figure is different from the predicted numbers, which creates new trading opportunities. Prepare for different scenarios. If the actual data is more than the expectations, you may see the value of a currency increasing, and if it is less, then the currency will weaken.  
    • As per MarketWatch, market calendars offer consensus forecasts along with actual data, the degree of suprise is a major driver of volatility.  

    Combined with technical and sentiment analysis 

    • You can use technical analysis to recognize support, resistance, as well as trend direction, and then overlay the upcoming economic events to easily time your entries and exits. Evaluate market sentiment before and after the news releases to understand potential follow-through or reversals.  

    Learning from historical patterns 

    • History repeats itself; study how specific events have influenced the market in the past. Historical analysis will allow you to easily anticipate likely outcomes and make changes to your strategy.  

    Keep an eye on high-impact events 

    • Focus on economic calendar events that are marked as high impact, like central bank meetings, GDP releases, employment reports, as well as interest rate decisions, as these are more than likely to cause major price fluctuations. Filter the calendar accordingly to showcase only the currencies and events that are relevant to your trading pairs and techniques.  

    Conclusion  

    • Timing and readiness are significant to achieve success in the dynamic forex market. The forex economic calendar helps traders with insights about the major events, enabling them to plan trades as per economic conditions. By understanding the economic indicators, understanding news releases, and aligning them with the Forex Trading Signals, you can easily gain a competitive edge. If you want to improve your trading strategies with expert tools and insights, you can opt for Thaurus. Thaurus provides a special suite of services that are specifically created for forex traders, such as real-time signal analysis, market predictions, as well as breakdowns of economic events. Thaurus will help you to stay ahead of your competitors and achieve success.  
    • Contact us, and our team will get back to you in 24 hours.  
    Author: Thaurus
    Thaurus is a leading trading platform specialising in stock, forex and commodities trading. Thaurus provides users with deep insights into market dynamics and investment strategy. Backed by a team of experienced experts, Thaurus is dedicated to empowering the investing community with financial knowledge and ability to navigate through the complexities of financial markets.